হট গেমস কেন হারে?

‘হট’স্ট্রিকসের মিথ

আমিওএকদম-পরবতই,ডেটা अপমতি देखाई। 2008–2023-এ 1,247টি play-off gāme-e ‘হট’ team-e win rate kēval 51% — 76% na। hot hand fallacy holo jersey silk-e jhālār bias. consecutive win dekhe brain dopamine diye bhara; amar residuals diye bhara.

myth er math

R ato TensorFlow diye Bayesian hierarchical model bani korechi — shot location variance ar opponent foul rates e posterior probability nicher true predictor. momentum o narrative na.

tumi keno bhul? (ar ki korbe?)

streak e bet korben na. distribution e bet korun. last three win kichhu mean nothing—effective field goal differential tai sob kichhu.

quiet truth

real insight crowd er cheering ba glowing headline theke ashe na—chicago apartment e 2 AM e code silent run korche, je shob keu khabe.