As a data巫师 from East London, I’ve watched clubs cling to gut feelings while xG values silently rewrite the rules. This isn’t about passion—it’s about posterior probabilities, Bayes theorem, and the cold math that exposes flimsy narratives. I break down 107–98 sequences in Premier League and NBA games where ‘faith’ meets regression. No religion here—just regression lines. The truth? It’s not what you see—it’s what the model predicts.

As a London-born data analyst with a Bayesian edge, I’ve watched fans cling to gut feelings while ignoring the math. In this piece, I dissect why Spurs supporters still believe in outdated shot metrics — not because the data says otherwise, but because tradition feels sacred. No religion, just logic. Let’s run the numbers.