Carter Bryant: The Analytics-Backed Case for the No. 10 Pick in the 2025 NBA Draft
Why Carter Bryant is the Smartest Risk at No. 10
The Numbers Don’t Lie
At first glance, Carter Bryant’s college stats seem modest—6.5 points, 4.1 rebounds in 19 minutes per game. But as someone who builds win-probability models for Premier League clubs, I know raw totals are deceiving. His per-40 minute projections? A far more intriguing 13.4 points, 8.5 rebounds, and 3.2 stocks (steals+blocks). That puts him in the 92nd percentile for NCAA forwards.
Defensive Sorcery
His 212cm wingspan generates a defensive radius most guards can’t escape. Advanced metrics love his:
- 5.3% block rate in isolation sets (top 8% nationally)
- Allowed just 0.63 points per post-up (better than Zach Edey!)
The caveat? His 4.1 fouls per 40 minutes scream ‘rookie mistake generator.’ But Bayesian analysis shows foul rates drop 38% on average after NBA coaching.
Offensive Upside ≠ Hype
Yes, his handle needs work (just 12 iso possessions all season). But consider:
- 1.32 points per possession on cuts (elite)
- 87th percentile spot-up efficiency
- That 37% three-point clip came mostly off movement—a rarity for 6’7” forwards
The Comp You’re Not Hearing
Everyone mentions OG Anunoby, but my clustering algorithm spots a better match: Robert Covington circa 2017. Same freakish wingspan-to-height ratio (+8 inches), similar catch-and-shoot mechanics, even matching combine agility scores. If Houston takes him at No. 10? They’re getting RoCo’s defense with better finishing instincts.
Final thought: In a draft obsessed with unicorns, Bryant’s the rare centaur—half analytics darling, half gym rat project.
xG_Knight
Hot comment (9)
O Homem-Aranha do Basquete
Carter Bryant pode não ter estatísticas brilhantes à primeira vista, mas os números avançados contam outra história! Com uma envergadura de 212cm, ele defende como se tivesse seis braços. 🤯
Faltas? Problema de caloiro! Segundo a análise Bayesiana (fancy, huh?), as faltas caem 38% após treino na NBA. Ou seja, ele vai de “penalty machine” para “muro defensivo” em dois tempos!
E olhem só o comparativo: Robert Covington 2.0 com finalizações melhores? Se o Houston pegar ele no #10, é roubo!
O que vocês acham? Vale a pena o risco ou é outro “quase lá”? 😏 #NBADraft #AnalyticsQueen
เลขไม่โกหก
สถิติของคาร์เตอร์อาจดูธรรมดา แต่ถ้าคำนวณแบบ per-40 นาทีแล้วนี่คือเครื่องจักร! 13.4 คะแนน 8.5 รีบาวด์ - แถมยังขโมยลูกได้เป็นกอบเป็นกำ (3.2 stocks) งานนี้ทีมที่เลือกเขาอันดับ 10 ได้ของดีแน่นอน!
ป้อมปราการเดินได้
ด้วยปีกนกยาว 212 ซม. เขากลายเป็นฝันร้ายของกองหน้า ตัวเลขป้องกันสุดโหด:
- อัตราบล็อก 5.3% ในเกมเดี่ยว (ติด Top 8% ของ NCAA)
- ยอมให้คะแนนแค่ 0.63 ต่อการโพสต์อัพ (ทำได้ดีกว่า Zach Edey เสียอีก!)
แต่…ก็ต้องยอมรับว่าเขาโดนฟาล์วเฉลี่ย 4.1 ครั้งทุกๆ 40 นาที - เหมือนนักรบมือใหม่ที่ยังควบคุมพลังไม่ค่อยได้ แต่สถิติบอกว่าฟาล์วจะลดลง 38% เมื่อเข้าสู่ NBA
ทิ้งท้าย: ในดราฟต์ที่ทุกคนไล่ล่ายูนิคอร์น คาร์เตอร์คือเซนทอร์ตัวจริง - ครึ่งนักวิเคราะห์ข้อมูล ครึ่งนักบาสหัวใจสิงห์! แล้วคุณล่ะคิดว่าเขาจะเจ๋งแค่ไหน? #มาดราม่ากันในคอมเมนต์
數據不會騙人，但犯規會
卡特·布萊恩特的每40分鐘數據簡直是「統計學家の春夢」——13.4分8.5籃板外加3.2次抄截+火鍋（stocks這詞根本在玩文字遊戲吧！）。不過那個每40分鐘4.1次犯規…嗯，看來休士頓要準備好「新秀犯規額度計算表」了！
防守半徑堪比台北捷運
212公分的臂展讓他的防守範圍比大安森林公園還廣，隔離防守阻攻率5.3%根本是作弊。等等，這不就是火箭最愛的「3D側翼樂透」嗎？只是這次買到的是「3D印表機」——還需要時間列印完成啦！
各位覺得用第10順位賭這位「半人馬型」（數據獨角獸+健身房老鼠）划算嗎？還是又要重現「伊森2.0」的劇本？
دفاعی جنون
کارٹر برائنٹ کا ونگ اسپین تو ایسا ہے جیسے کوئی ہمسائیہ آپ کے چولہے سے روٹی اُڑا لے جائے! 🏀🔥 اس کے بلاکس اور اسٹیلز کے اعدادوشمار دیکھ کر لگتا ہے کہ یہ نوجوان دفاع میں ایک مکمل طوفان ہے۔
کیا یہ ایک اور ایتھن ہوگا؟
لوگ OG Anunoby کا موازنہ کر رہے ہیں، لیکن میرے ڈیٹا کے مطابق یہ Robert Covington کی طرح کھیلے گا۔ بس فرق یہ ہے کہ اس کے پاس شوٹنگ بھی بہتر ہے!
آپ کا کیا خیال ہے؟ کیا ہیوسٹن کو نمبر 10 پر یہ انتخاب کرنا چاہئے؟ 💬
¿Otro Robert Covington? ¡Por favor!
Los números de Carter Bryant en la NCAA pueden parecer modestos, pero como experto en datos deportivos, sé que las estadísticas brutas engañan. ¡Sus proyecciones por 40 minutos son de otro nivel! Defensa élite, un 37% en triples… ¿y encima comparado con Covington?
El dato clave: Su envergadura de 212 cm es una pesadilla para los bases.
Si Houston lo elige en el puesto 10, no será por hype, sino por pura ciencia de datos. ¿Ustedes qué opinan? ¿Estamos ante el próximo diamante en bruto o solo es humo analítico?
また伊森を選ぶ気？
Carter Bryantのデータを見たら目が点になったわｗ 19分で6.5得点とか嘘やろ？と思ったら、40分換算で13.4得点8.5リバウンド！
防御の魔術師
この212cmのウィングスパンはまさに”蜘蛛男”（笑） アイソレーションでのブロック率5.3%って…PGたちが泣いてるぜ。
ロケットファンへ
OGアヌノビーもいいけど、俺のアルゴリズムが示すのは2017年のコヴィントン！ 同じ長い腕＋動きながらの3P成功率37%。
10位でこれなら大穴確定やない？データ的には”神ギャンブル”やで～ （※ただしファウル多めなのでご注意を）
Stat Nerds Unite!
Houston’s about to draft Robert Covington 2.0 at No. 10 - except this version actually makes layups!
Defensive Cyborg Mode: That 212cm wingspan isn’t just for high-fives - it’s a full-court bug zapper for opposing guards (5.3% block rate in isolation = pure witchcraft).
Foul Trouble Simulator: Yes, he averages 4.1 fouls per 40 mins… but Bayesian models say there’s a 38% chance your coach will not yeet his clipboard after 3 quarters.
Hot take: In a draft hunting unicorns, Bryant’s our beloved centaur 🏹 #AnalyticsNeverLies
Le coup statistique parfait
Carter Bryant à la 10ème place? Les chiffres montrent que c’est un vol! Avec une envergure de poulpe (212cm!) et des stats défensives qui feraient pleurer les meneurs, c’est le projet idéal pour Houston.
Fautes incluses gratuitement Ses 4.1 fautes/40min? Pensez-y comme à un bonus: 38% de réduction après coaching NBA! C’est comme soldes d’été, mais pour le basketball.
Et ce tir à 37% en mouvement? Même les licornes sont jalouses. Alors, prêts à parier sur ce centaure des stats? #Draft2025
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