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Why 90% of NBA Three-Point Predictions Are Wrong: The Hidden Variables Behind Jackson, Durant, and the Data-Driven Game

Why 90% of NBA Three-Point Predictions Are Wrong: The Hidden Variables Behind Jackson, Durant, and the Data-Driven Game

As a UCL data scientist raised in Hackney, I’ve watched how intuition misleads analysts into overlooking the real mechanics of shooting. In 2025, only four players consistently hit 2.5+ threes per game with 40%+ accuracy—not luck, but calibrated precision. This isn’t about stars. It’s about variables buried in motion: spacing, defender response time, and release angle. Let me show you what the algorithms see when the human eye doesn’t.
Warriors Zone
data-driven sports
nba three-point shooting
•3 weeks ago
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