As a data巫师 from East London, I’ve watched the Lakers’ obsession with Reedy’s three-point volume while ignoring their interior defense—classic stats masking as strategy. This isn’t intuition; it’s a probability failure. Using Bayesian models, I dissect how over-reliance on perimeter shooting collapses under playoff pressure. The data doesn’t lie—it just echoes the same old delusion: when xG spikes, wins fade. Let me show you why.