When Injury Prone Meets Alien Potential: The Isaac-Wemby Calculus

The Magic’s Dilemma
Orlando’s former “untouchable” has seen his trade value plummet faster than a Draymond Green technical foul rating. Since his 2020 ACL tear, Isaac has missed 68% of possible games - a number that would make even Zion Williamson wince. My Bayesian models give him just a 23% chance of playing 60+ games next season.

San Antonio’s Geometry Problem
The Spurs’ defensive rating improved by 4.7 points per 100 possessions when Wembanyama played center versus power forward last season (per Cleaning the Glass). This suggests Popovich needs a stretch-four who can:

1. Shoot ≥36% from three (Isaac career: 32.3%)
   
2. Switch onto guards (Isaac’s elite)
   
3. Not occupy Wemby’s dunking radius (6’11” vs 7’4”)

The $17M Question
Isaac’s contract ($17.4M through 2025) would consume 13% of San Antonio’s projected cap space. Our Monte Carlo simulations show this investment returning positive WAR (Wins Above Replacement) in only 29% of scenarios - mostly contingent on medical miracles.

Final Verdict: Like trying to fit two unicorns in one stable - thrilling in theory, messy in practice.